IMS Mini-Meeting

Statistical Approaches to the Ocean Circulation Inverse Problem
November 13-14, 2001
Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida

This mini-meeting is designed to foster interaction between statisticians and oceanographers with a common interest in inverse problem methods. Oceanography has evolved very quickly over the past decade with the increasing realization of the ocean's importance to climate around the globe, the implementation of large field experiments such as the World Ocean Circulation Experiment, and with the development of new technologies to measure temperature, movement, and other quantities in the ocean from space with satellites. A major effort is being made to integrate diverse observations and analyze larger datasets; these efforts are challenging because of the basic complexity of the ocean and climate system. Variability exists at the longest and shortest space and time scales, and little is presently known about the spatial and temporal coherence of ocean circulation.

Furthermore, despite the observational efforts, datasets are typically sparse, and methods of analysis typically must incorporate dynamical information about the circulation in order to proceed. Studies of the basic statistical variability, mapping, estimation, and more sophisticated forward and inverse modeling techniques are being developed and used in the oceanography community to determine circulation. On the other hand, a large variety of inferential methods for the study of indirect or sparsely measured phenomena, including Bayesian techniques and nonparametric smoothing for spatio-temporal data, have been developed by statisticians in recent years. A 1994 National Research Council panel (Statistics and Physical Oceanography) encouraged collaboration between statisticians and oceanographers in a number of areas, including inverse problem methods. So the time is ripe for a fruitful interaction between the oceanographic and statistics communities to discuss this topic.

Invited Speakers/Discussants

Carl Wunsch (MIT, cwunsch@pond.mit.edu)
Paul Switzer (Stanford, ps@stat.stanford.edu)
Keith Haines (Edinburgh, kh@met.ed.ac.uk)
Grace Wahba (Madison, wahba@stat.wisc.edu)
Armin Koehl (Scripps, akoehl@ucsd.edu)
Chris Wikle (Missouri, wikle@ss1.stat.missouri.edu)
Susan Lozier (Duke, s.lozier@duke.edu)
Michael Lavine (Duke, michael@stat.duke.edu)
Francois-Xavier Le-Dimet (Grenoble, Francois-Xavier.Le-Dimet@imag.fr)

Organizers

Ian McKeague (FSU)
Kevin Speer (FSU)

The meeting had an informal workshop flavor, open to anyone interested in attending. There was no registration fee. A poster session was organized for all presentations other than invited talks. We originally intended that a record of the invited talks would be made available through this web page, but speakers were reluctant to send summaries of their talks after the meeting, so that idea fell by the wayside. However, e-mail addresses are provided above, and we encourage anyone interested to ask the speakers for further information about their talks.

Persons interested in attending or in presenting a poster were asked to notify:

Pam McGhee
Department of Statistics
Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL 32306-4330
e-mail: mcghee@stat.fsu.edu

Program

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 13:

8:30 a.m. - Pick-up time for rides to Dirac Science Library
         from Holiday Inn and Doubletree hotels
8:40 a.m. - Refreshments
9:00 a.m. - Welcome
9:15 a.m. - Carl Wunsch
     Statistical Issues Raised by Ocean Data Assimilation, and other Stories
     Discussant: Paul Switzer
10:30 a.m. - Break
11:00 a.m. - Grace Wahba
     Covariance Modeling for Atmospheric and Ocean Data Assimilation
     Discussant: Paul Switzer
12:15 p.m. - Lunch
2:00 p.m. - Keith Haines
     Diagnostics of Thermodynamic Bias in Ocean Data Assimilation
     Discussant: Chris Wikle
2:45 p.m. - Armin Koehl
     Discussant: Michael Lavine
3:30 p.m. - Break
4:00 p.m. Poster session

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 14:

8:30 a.m. - Pick-up time for rides to Dirac Science Library
         from Holiday Inn and Doubletree hotels
8:40 a.m. - Refreshments
9:00 a.m. - Chris Wikle
     Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Air-Sea Interaction
     Discussant: Keith Haines
9:45 a.m. - Susan Lozier and Michael Lavine
     Discussant: Armin Koehl
10:45 a.m. - Break
11:15 a.m. - Francois-Xavier Le Dimet
     Errors and Data Assimilation
     Discussant: Grace Wahba
12:00 a.m. - Open discussion

All talks and the poster session took place in the Seminar Room on the 4th floor of Dirac Science Library. To find the Dirac Science Library and the Oceanography/Statistics Building, see the campus map.

Accommodation

Special rates were arranged at two hotels within a few blocks of the downtown walking tour sights, and we advised "Be sure to request the FSU-Department of Statistics group block rate when making reservations." The locations of these hotels are shown on the map.

     Holiday Inn Select
     Downtown Capital Hill
     316 W. Tennessee St.
     Tallahassee, FL 32301
     Phone: 800-648-6135
     Rate $79 (if reserved by Oct 29)

     Doubletree Hotel
     101 S. Adams St.
     Tallahassee, FL 32301
     Phone: 850-224-5000
     Rate $89 (if reserved by Oct 29)

hotel and conference center map

Downtown Tallahassee

Travel

For those planning air travel to the conference, the Tallahassee Regional Airport is located 7 miles southwest of Tallahassee on Capital Circle SW.

For travel by interstate, Tallahassee is just off I-10 at the east edge of Florida's Panhandle.

airport map

Tallahassee regional map